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CT Financial Condition Remains Stable

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Lead Summary

The CT Office of Policy and Management has issued its analysis of the State’s financial condition for Fiscal Year 2026. The following is a summary of key elements of their report:

Connecticut's financial condition for FY 2026 is stable, with both the General Fund and SpecialTransportation Fund projected to end the year with surpluses.

General Fund Highlights

Surplus Expected: The General Fund is projected to close FY 2026 with a $322.8 million surplus, which is an improvement over earlier forecasts.

Revenue Growth: Revenues have been revised upward by $786.7 million, mainly due to new 
legislation and a one-time adjustment that allowed more funds to remain in the General Fund.

Increased Spending: Expenditures are also higher than budgeted, up $737.1 million, largely due to additional appropriations for education, municipal aid, and specific transfers from reserve 
funds.

Reserve Strength: The Budget Reserve Fund ("Rainy Day Fund") remains strong, with an 
estimated balance of $5.61 billion at year-end, representing over 23% of annual 
appropriations—well above typical targets for fiscal stability.

Special Transportation Fund Highlights

Modest Surplus: The Special Transportation Fund is expected to end the year with a $20.3 
million surplus, and a healthy fund balance of $432.7 million after debt reduction transfers.

Revenue Adjustments: Revenues were revised downward by $100 million due to legislative 
transfers, but overall expenditures are slightly below budget.

Key Takeaways

  • The state is operating with a surplus in both major funds.
  • Reserve levels are robust, providing a strong buffer against future uncertainties.
  • Revenue growth and prudent fiscal management have offset increased spending, 
    especially in priority areas like education and municipal aid.
  • Overall, Connecticut's finances for FY 2026 are sound, with healthy reserves and
     positive operating results.

finance table

By
Submitted by the Office of Policy & Management